MM#369--Election 2024 - Spiking the Football + Weak Sauce = FREE AT LAST

Transcript

WEBVTT

00:00:07.612 --> 00:00:20.807
Welcome to the Theory to Action podcast, where we examine the timeless treasures of wisdom from the great books in less time, to help you take action immediately and ultimately to create and lead a flourishing life.

00:00:20.807 --> 00:00:27.231
Now here's your host, david Kaiser flourishing life.

00:00:27.251 --> 00:00:28.899
Now here's your host, david Kaiser.

00:00:28.899 --> 00:00:35.679
Hello, I am David, and welcome back to another Mojo Minute.

00:00:35.679 --> 00:00:43.405
I know I said in our last podcast that that was going to be it for the election 2024 stuff, but we do have to do a little cleanup work first.

00:00:43.405 --> 00:00:52.636
We still have some open threads hanging out there and I want to put them in order and clean it all up.

00:00:52.636 --> 00:01:02.347
So I apologize in advance for making you sit through one more election 2024 item, but I think you'll find this fruitful.

00:01:02.347 --> 00:01:04.320
But I think you'll find this fruitful.

00:01:04.340 --> 00:01:34.817
Our first order of business is the vaunted and, before this election, the much, much listened to Nostradamus of presidential elections, as he has been called before Professor, the Professor Alan Lichtman, the author of the book the 13 Keys to the Presidency, a book which we featured back in September 2024 with a title called the Very Namesake 13 Keys to the Presidency.

00:01:34.817 --> 00:01:40.801
Check out Mojo Minute 352 for that one.

00:01:40.801 --> 00:01:44.143
Now we'll put a link in the show notes to make it easier for you.

00:01:44.143 --> 00:02:07.897
But the quick and dirty summary of that episode was that Professor Lichtman's 13 keys he outlined for the 2024 presidential election was Professor had Kamala Harris winning the 2024 election?

00:02:07.897 --> 00:02:19.479
So obviously that's a wrong answer and, yes, we know that the professor has correctly predicted nine out of 10 election outcomes since 1984.

00:02:19.479 --> 00:02:21.385
We understand that.

00:02:21.520 --> 00:02:22.260
However, the professor was wrong.

00:02:22.260 --> 00:02:22.762
We understand that.

00:02:22.762 --> 00:02:30.813
However, the professor was wrong and Donald Trump will return to the White House as the 47th president of the United States.

00:02:30.813 --> 00:02:36.082
And yes, we don't do this often on this podcast.

00:02:36.082 --> 00:02:42.580
There should be some grace afforded to the losers, especially in this election.

00:02:42.580 --> 00:02:57.353
But, honestly, I have followed the professor's work for some 10 to 15 years and this book came out in 1984, and he had a pretty good track record of predicting elections.

00:02:57.353 --> 00:03:01.604
But again, the professor was wrong and we're going to relish that.

00:03:01.604 --> 00:03:04.706
But again, the professor was wrong and we're going to relish that.

00:03:05.709 --> 00:03:11.816
And Donald Trump will return to the White House as the 47th president of the United States.

00:03:11.816 --> 00:03:20.659
Yes, I said that again because I want the professor to hear it.

00:03:20.659 --> 00:03:54.132
So, for all the professor's smugness, his lack of humility for the last eight years, since the presidency of Donald Trump and, frankly, ironically, he predicted Trump's 2016 victory but Professor Lichtman, for the last eight years, has just become overly smug and he really turned from his objectivity, which his 13 keys are mostly about.

00:03:54.132 --> 00:03:59.751
I mean, he tries to demonstrate and have them be practical, these 13 keys.

00:03:59.751 --> 00:04:12.474
But once the presidency of Donald Trump the first time, the first term commenced, professor Lichtman, like we just went off the deep edge.

00:04:12.474 --> 00:04:21.834
He published in 2017 a book titled the Case for Impeachment, where he laid out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump.

00:04:21.834 --> 00:04:33.019
So there's that you might even say maybe the professor got caught up in a case of Trump derangement syndrome.

00:04:33.019 --> 00:04:54.372
And then he even further eroded his credibility and, essentially, his lack of viewing history objectively when he wrote the Repeal of the Second Amendment in 2020, which is a book in which he argues the only way to solve US gun violence epidemic is to repeal the Second Amendment.

00:04:54.372 --> 00:05:09.562
So talk about a guy who's lost his marbles, and this is a professor of history at American University, a guy who's going to write a book about repealing the Second Amendment.

00:05:09.562 --> 00:05:16.086
Do you understand that we've had the Second Amendment since the Bill of Rights, which is essentially about 240 plus years?

00:05:16.086 --> 00:05:22.124
Again, this is a professor of history at American University.

00:05:22.124 --> 00:05:23.807
Very, very bizarre stuff.

00:05:24.970 --> 00:05:38.552
Now, if that wasn't enough, we get another book called 13 Cracks Repairing American Democracy After Trump in 2021.

00:05:38.552 --> 00:05:43.264
Check out this teaser from Amazon, which is all about this book.

00:05:43.264 --> 00:05:54.213
For a clear-eyed look at the state of US democracy, read the book by Alan Lichtman.

00:05:54.213 --> 00:06:00.353
That forward says takes a welcome, nonpartisan, straightforward approach.

00:06:00.353 --> 00:06:04.348
America's founders feared a president like Donald Trump.

00:06:04.348 --> 00:06:14.932
Through the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, they erected a fortified but constrained government to secure the benchmarks of our democracy and establish the guardrails designed to protect it.

00:06:14.932 --> 00:06:20.747
But Trump pushed almost every one of the framers' safeguards to its limits.

00:06:20.747 --> 00:06:28.209
Most held, but some broke under the weight of the presidential abuses even the framers did not foresee.

00:06:28.850 --> 00:06:31.178
Whoa slow down.

00:06:33.151 --> 00:06:35.399
Yes, please pump the brakes there.

00:06:35.399 --> 00:06:38.879
Whoever wrote that, that foreword for the book?

00:06:38.879 --> 00:06:40.576
I can't stop.

00:06:40.576 --> 00:06:43.158
I can't stop laughing.

00:06:43.158 --> 00:06:48.355
What's he say here?

00:06:48.355 --> 00:06:55.019
Trump pushed almost every one of the framers safeguards to its limit.

00:06:55.019 --> 00:07:00.314
Most held, but some broke under the weight of presidential abuses.

00:07:00.314 --> 00:07:03.521
Even the framers did not receive whoa.

00:07:03.521 --> 00:07:06.391
Slow down again.

00:07:06.391 --> 00:07:07.372
This is uh.

00:07:07.372 --> 00:07:08.673
This is too funny.

00:07:08.673 --> 00:07:26.288
This is coming from a party that once they preached about abolishing the filibuster, only a safeguard of minority right against majority role in our upper chamber, the Senate, for the last 175 years at least.

00:07:26.288 --> 00:07:36.283
Come on, folks, this is just absolutely hilarious writing.

00:07:36.283 --> 00:07:38.237
I can't stop laughing.

00:07:40.074 --> 00:07:42.261
This professor is not objective.

00:07:42.261 --> 00:07:48.083
He is not an objective, fair purveyor of history or politics.

00:07:48.083 --> 00:07:57.233
He's just another radical professor who stays in his ivory tower and preaches to the rest of us his garbage version of what is going on around us.

00:07:57.233 --> 00:08:10.896
Um, you know, I'm sure I didn't check, uh, professor lickman's social media accounts, but I'm sure he would have said the hunter's laptop was Russian disinformation.

00:08:10.896 --> 00:08:19.867
I'm sure he would have said the mRNA vax did no harm, both proven demonstrably wrong.

00:08:19.867 --> 00:08:22.699
Hunter's laptop was Hunter's laptop.

00:08:22.699 --> 00:08:26.553
It wasn't a Russia fake mRNA vax.

00:08:26.553 --> 00:08:28.120
Harm did actually happen.

00:08:28.120 --> 00:08:34.543
The plandemic that's another conspiracy theory that turned out probably to be right.

00:08:34.543 --> 00:08:43.745
Um, we don't know why, because professor Lickman's wonderful president, president Biden, shut that down.

00:08:43.745 --> 00:08:45.394
We still don't know what happened with Wuhan.

00:08:46.296 --> 00:08:49.582
Uh, the lockdown that really didn't serve anybody, right?

00:08:49.582 --> 00:08:54.547
Uh, sweden never locked down and had wonderful results with?

00:08:54.547 --> 00:08:56.052
Uh, the covid lockdowns.

00:08:56.052 --> 00:09:00.062
Uh, ivermectin efficacy that turned out to be right.

00:09:00.062 --> 00:09:03.711
Uh, hydroxychloroquine efficacy turned out to be right.

00:09:03.711 --> 00:09:08.186
Face mask useless yep, that absolutely turned out to be true.

00:09:08.186 --> 00:09:17.442
Censorship via social media yep, we saw that happen all day, every day, until Elon Musk bought um Twitter.

00:09:17.442 --> 00:09:21.655
Uh, the Epstein sex Island Yep, that turns out more and more.

00:09:21.655 --> 00:09:23.376
That's coming more true.

00:09:23.376 --> 00:09:25.235
Wonder who's on that list?

00:09:25.235 --> 00:09:26.077
Bill Clinton?

00:09:26.077 --> 00:09:32.740
Um, elite pedophilia we start to see more and more of that happening.

00:09:32.740 --> 00:09:35.597
How absolutely grotesque that is.

00:09:36.429 --> 00:09:47.100
Biolabins in Ukraine Huh, wonder why Joe Biden's so interested in Ukraine, not to mention that his son had all kinds of kickbacks from Ukraine.

00:09:47.100 --> 00:09:51.155
Child trafficking Is that part of the reason they opened up the borders?

00:09:51.155 --> 00:09:54.815
Russiagate yeah, that's all we heard, especially Alan Lichtman.

00:09:54.815 --> 00:09:57.875
Russia, russia, russia, come on man.

00:09:57.875 --> 00:10:00.376
The Steele dossier that was there too.

00:10:00.376 --> 00:10:21.044
Ukraine corruption All three of those last ones Russiagate, the Steele dossier and Ukraine corruption all happened, and you can check out Peter Schweitzer's book and you can check out Peter Schweitzer's book, because Alan Lakeman just has no absolute objectivity whatsoever.

00:10:26.152 --> 00:10:28.017
He is not a purveyor of history or politics.

00:10:28.017 --> 00:10:29.441
He shouldn't even be called a professor.

00:10:29.441 --> 00:10:35.572
He should be denounced with his tenure.

00:10:35.572 --> 00:10:40.864
We could throw him on par with Howard Zinn, who was just another radical Marxist disguising himself as a historian.

00:10:40.864 --> 00:11:04.764
So, for all this, like I said earlier, we don't do it often on this podcast, but and yes, there should be some grace afforded to some of these folks but we are solidly, wholeheartedly, we're spiking the football, and we're spiking the football big time and Alan Lickman's face, because we have swallowed enough of his garbage for a long time.

00:11:04.764 --> 00:11:11.663
And even, furthermore, earlier this week, we went hunting for an explanation from the professor.

00:11:11.663 --> 00:11:13.376
What happened, sir?

00:11:13.376 --> 00:11:18.091
Hunting for an explanation from the professor.

00:11:18.091 --> 00:11:18.513
What happened, sir?

00:11:18.513 --> 00:11:20.317
Why did you get it wrong on your 13 key prediction?

00:11:20.317 --> 00:11:30.082
Could you have just been blindsided with so much Trump hate that you couldn't see objectively that America was indeed changing and that the 13 keys were not adding up?

00:11:30.082 --> 00:11:37.057
A good many of them, frankly, are quite subjective, as we analyzed back in our previous Mojo Minute.

00:11:37.057 --> 00:11:37.839
But check this out.

00:11:37.839 --> 00:11:39.802
What do you know?

00:11:39.802 --> 00:11:46.143
Mr Lichtman actually did show up to offer an explanation of what happened.

00:11:46.143 --> 00:11:47.974
Here's the article.

00:11:47.974 --> 00:11:49.499
Let's read it together.

00:11:51.630 --> 00:12:08.817
Alan Lichtman, often referred to as the Nostradamus of US presidential polls, has attributed his incorrect prediction suggesting Vice President Kamala Harris would win the US election to wait for it disinformation.

00:12:08.817 --> 00:12:13.384
And by the billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk.

00:12:13.384 --> 00:12:16.673
Please, yep, let's keep going.

00:12:16.673 --> 00:12:23.225
Lichtman renowned for his accurate forecasting of nine out of the last ten US elections.

00:12:23.225 --> 00:12:28.836
Had correctly predicted nine out of the last ten outcomes.

00:12:28.836 --> 00:12:55.892
However, last week, the historian political scientist's prediction that Kamala Harris would win the US presidential election proved incorrect, with Republican Donald Trump returning to the White House forecast citing wait for it.

00:12:55.892 --> 00:13:00.842
Conservative media platforms and Elon Musk, who reportedly invested millions in Donald Trump's campaign, as contributing factors.

00:13:00.842 --> 00:13:13.452
Alan Lichtman also criticized Musk for amplifying disinformation online on topics such as immigration, hurricane relief and the war in Ukraine.

00:13:13.452 --> 00:13:16.015
Quote tipping the scales.

00:13:16.015 --> 00:13:19.081
As the News Nation report noted.

00:13:19.721 --> 00:13:28.634
Quote disinformation is the primary issue, lichtman stated during an appearance on the Chris Cuomo News Nation show.

00:13:28.634 --> 00:13:32.602
We've always had disinformation, but now it's reached unprecedented levels.

00:13:32.602 --> 00:13:39.011
Much of the grievances this election were fueled by it, he continued.

00:13:39.011 --> 00:13:44.864
Scholars have shown that when truth dissolves, democracy follows.

00:13:44.864 --> 00:14:03.198
Authoritarian regimes take hold, not through force, but through the manipulation of information, as George Orwell warned in 1984, where war is, peace and famine is plenty.

00:14:03.198 --> 00:14:16.105
The basis of my system, the keys to the White House, is that a rational, pragmatic electorate assesses if the governing party deserves another four years.

00:14:16.105 --> 00:14:28.474
But when disinformation drives the electorate's view of that party, especially from individuals with immense financial influence, perhaps the foundation of the Keys needs re-evaluation.

00:14:28.474 --> 00:14:30.255
Lichtman concluded.

00:14:30.255 --> 00:14:52.000
Professor, perhaps you are spot on, because we do think the keys need a hearty re-evaluation because they are no longer working.

00:14:53.605 --> 00:15:00.158
But disinformation, alan, no sir, no sir, you are wildly wrong there.

00:15:00.158 --> 00:15:07.596
Frankly, that is just weak sauce, my friend, very weak sauce.

00:15:07.596 --> 00:15:09.899
You are big time wrong.

00:15:09.899 --> 00:15:20.048
The radical liberal academy that you have been part of for over the last 50 years has been lying about who the United States really is.

00:15:20.048 --> 00:15:31.557
You have fed those lies to major media who just simply regurgitate them over and over to their willing listeners, starting with Walter Cronkite way back in the day.

00:15:31.557 --> 00:15:36.313
The radicals have had the academy, then they have major media.

00:15:36.313 --> 00:15:37.977
They've had all the foundations.

00:15:37.977 --> 00:15:39.607
They've written the history books.

00:15:39.607 --> 00:15:41.131
Hell, social media.

00:15:41.131 --> 00:15:45.312
You were out there censoring people in the very beginning of our digital age.

00:15:45.312 --> 00:15:49.495
Literally, you kicked off a sitting president of the United States.

00:15:49.495 --> 00:15:54.155
That's the equivalent of shutting down major newspapers in the 19th century.

00:15:54.155 --> 00:15:59.355
No sir, mr Lichtman, you have been part of the problem.

00:15:59.355 --> 00:16:03.389
You've been part of the extreme problem for the last 50 years.

00:16:03.389 --> 00:16:14.201
As the radicals marched through the institutions as part of the radical Marxist plan that Gramsci wanted, you were a willing accomplice.

00:16:14.201 --> 00:16:16.312
You carried the water.

00:16:16.312 --> 00:16:21.998
The fact that you could not see that viewpoint is, in fact, radical.

00:16:21.998 --> 00:16:24.774
It's so radical it's astonishing.

00:16:24.774 --> 00:16:35.216
Frankly, it's beyond astonishing Not surprising, but beyond astonishing that you would even have that thought.

00:16:35.216 --> 00:16:40.413
Let's go back to this article because there's even more color to add.

00:16:40.413 --> 00:16:42.972
It gets even more humorous.

00:16:44.866 --> 00:16:57.110
For more than four decades, lichtman's keys to the White House model has enjoyed a strong track record of accuracy, correctly predicting each presidential winner since 1984.

00:16:57.110 --> 00:17:07.865
The 77-year-old American University professor expected Harris to win in 2024, relying on the model's indicators that favored a Democratic outcome.

00:17:07.865 --> 00:17:17.440
But Trump's decisive victory left Lichtman surprised as he live streamed his dismay alongside his son, sam.

00:17:17.440 --> 00:17:30.354
Prediction model the 13 keys to the White House is based on 13 true or false indicators that assess conditions favoring the incumbent party.

00:17:30.354 --> 00:17:37.733
If six or more of those keys turn false, the model predicts a loss for the incumbent.

00:17:37.733 --> 00:17:45.757
The keys encompass factors like economic performance, social stability, candidate charisma, major policy achievements.

00:17:45.757 --> 00:17:55.904
Lichtman believed Harris had eight keys in her favor, while Trump fell short on several counts, pointing to a clear Democratic path to victory.

00:17:57.247 --> 00:18:05.460
In his forecast, lichtman highlighted Harris' strengths in areas like check this out.

00:18:05.460 --> 00:18:17.756
Lichtman highlighted Harris's strengths in areas like there was no primary contest, so she got a true key for that.

00:18:17.756 --> 00:18:25.355
One of the 13, by the way, there were strong long-term economy going on.

00:18:25.355 --> 00:18:29.392
What she got a strong key for?

00:18:29.392 --> 00:18:32.574
That there were no foreign or military failures.

00:18:32.574 --> 00:18:36.796
She got a strong, true key for that.

00:18:36.796 --> 00:18:41.434
Professor Lichtman, do you remember Afghanistan?

00:18:41.434 --> 00:18:49.419
These indicators usually benefit the incumbent party when stable or positive.

00:18:49.419 --> 00:18:56.939
Yet despite these favorable indicators, the electorate leaned unexpectedly towards Trump, leading to a decisive win.

00:18:58.065 --> 00:19:08.800
This miss by the key model underscores its limitations in capturing an increasingly unpredictable political climate.

00:19:08.800 --> 00:19:12.765
Unpredictable political climate?

00:19:12.765 --> 00:19:15.795
Well, yes, indeed it was.

00:19:15.795 --> 00:19:28.451
But the fact that Lichtman said in his forecast Harris's strengths that where there was no primary contest was a positive for her, that's just simply demonstrably wrong.

00:19:28.451 --> 00:19:34.708
She got hammered for never going through the primaries and being coordinated as joe biden's number two.

00:19:34.708 --> 00:19:38.714
Strong long-term economy completely wrong.

00:19:38.714 --> 00:19:43.834
Inflation was at 40-year highs, mr professor, what are you thinking?

00:19:43.834 --> 00:19:51.095
Any objective looking at this after you figured out those keys would be like whoa, my model was way off.

00:19:51.095 --> 00:19:52.176
I cannot publish this.

00:19:52.176 --> 00:19:57.976
But no, you had no intellectual integrity, no foreign or military failures.

00:19:57.976 --> 00:20:03.251
Wrong again, afghanistan glaring in your face, mr Professor.

00:20:03.251 --> 00:20:12.009
All three of these were clearly wrong and, frankly, the American electorate said so and that is what matters.

00:20:13.807 --> 00:20:22.517
So in today's Mojo Minute, we are absolutely spiking the football on Alan Lichtman's 13-key prediction model.

00:20:22.517 --> 00:20:26.556
We're calling his BS on all of it.

00:20:26.556 --> 00:20:28.810
It was just weak sauce.

00:20:28.810 --> 00:20:31.866
Even his defense of it Disinformation.

00:20:31.866 --> 00:20:35.237
That's weak sauce, very weak sauce indeed.

00:20:35.237 --> 00:20:44.435
We thank Elon Musk for allowing Twitter, or X or whatever we're calling it these days to be a vehicle for free speech and not censorship.

00:20:44.435 --> 00:20:51.077
We thank the 76 million voters who believed in Donald Trump and JD Vance as his running mate.

00:20:51.077 --> 00:21:02.545
Just one takeaway, political nugget of wisdom, as we're going to put a bow on this election after this episode.

00:21:02.545 --> 00:21:04.407
As we're going to put a bow on this election after this episode.

00:21:04.428 --> 00:21:22.156
Quote Trump gained ground among all voters in 49 states and Washington DC in Tuesday's vote, something not seen for any party since 1992, when Bill Clinton, a Democrat, won the presidency.

00:21:22.156 --> 00:21:22.699
What did Bill Clinton do?

00:21:22.699 --> 00:21:23.101
Total triangulation.

00:21:23.101 --> 00:21:23.663
What did Bill Clinton do?

00:21:23.663 --> 00:21:24.105
Total triangulation.

00:21:24.105 --> 00:21:25.486
Ask Dick Morse about it.

00:21:25.486 --> 00:21:34.000
Bill Clinton kept intact the old New Deal coalition, as did, frankly, barack Obama did in 2008.

00:21:34.000 --> 00:21:39.718
And then it fell apart in 2012 because Barack Obama went radical.

00:21:39.718 --> 00:21:55.878
But Donald Trump made huge gains in 2024 with minority vote share among Hispanics and African-Americans, especially African-Americans, men under 45, huge, huge gains.

00:21:58.207 --> 00:22:01.036
And so we're going to enjoy that correction made to the electorate.

00:22:01.036 --> 00:22:14.973
We're going to enjoy the correction of restoring the American government to its limited scope, hopefully ushering in a monumental shift in American politics, similar to that in 1932, but just going the other way.

00:22:14.973 --> 00:22:26.905
In 1932, fdr and that whole New Deal coalition wanted to expand government to its maximum amount, and they did Well.

00:22:26.905 --> 00:22:36.734
Now it's time to reduce the federal government to its minimal amount and I hope we do that for the next 80 years plus.

00:22:36.734 --> 00:22:46.098
We also hope to enjoy a golden age of American prosperity for all Americans, not just the elite.

00:22:46.098 --> 00:23:01.813
We disagree with them politically, but we want all Americans to benefit from an American golden age and, frankly, we can discard those that claim that they're telling the truth from the news media and the academy.

00:23:01.813 --> 00:23:09.179
The truth is coming out Legacy and major media and, frankly, the liberal elite academy.

00:23:09.179 --> 00:23:19.815
They're all proven liars, just like Professor Alan Lichtman, so as the Martin Luther King Jr so soundly preached in his.

00:23:20.375 --> 00:23:35.016
I have a Dream speech which a large coalition of the American electorate can now sing and sing with pride From that old Negro spiritual way down yonder in the graveyard walk.

00:23:35.016 --> 00:23:40.946
I thank God, I'm free at last, me and my Jesus going to meet and talk.

00:23:40.946 --> 00:23:42.468
I thank God, I'm free at last, jesus going to meet and talk.

00:23:42.468 --> 00:23:44.209
I thank God, I'm free at last.

00:23:44.209 --> 00:23:45.830
Free at last.

00:23:45.830 --> 00:23:46.810
Free at last.

00:23:46.810 --> 00:23:49.973
I thank God almighty, I'm free at last.

00:23:49.973 --> 00:24:00.422
Free at last to really appreciate the American Republic that was saved some two weeks ago.

00:24:00.422 --> 00:24:09.388
As always, let's keep fighting the good fight.

00:24:09.449 --> 00:24:10.691
Thank you for joining us.

00:24:10.691 --> 00:24:14.094
We hope you enjoyed this Theory to Action podcast.

00:24:14.094 --> 00:24:23.241
Be sure to check out our show page at teammojoacademycom, where we have everything we discussed in this podcast, as well as other great resources.

00:24:23.241 --> 00:24:29.963
Until next time, keep getting your mojo on.

MM#369--Election 2024 - Spiking the Football + Weak Sauce = FREE AT LAST

Listen On

Recent Episodes